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A drop is an item obtained by killing a monster.

Drop Properties[]

The main property of a drop is the Drop Rate.

Drop Rate[]

The drop rate refers to the probability of a monster dropping an item after it is defeated in combat. An item's drop rate can be improved by prospecting of an individual player.

Before the 2.42 update, drop rate scaled linearly with prospecting - a character with 200PP would see drop rates multiplied by 2, 300PP would multiply drop rates by 3, etc.

The drop rate multiplier formula is now an exponential curve with diminishing returns:

A multiplier less than 1 is treated as 1, so having less than 100 Prospecting does not impose any penalty to drops.

Example calculation:

For a character with 200 prospecting:

So a character with 200 Prospection will have a drop multiplier of 1.367 - e.g. a 10% drop rate will become a (10 * 1.367) = 13.67% drop rate (under the old system, 200PP would be a 2x multiplier, resulting in a 20% drop rate).

This multiplier value cannot mathematically exceed 2.5x, regardless of Prospecting. However, other drop multiplier bonuses (like challenges, Almanax bonuses, and the 1.05x bonus from Ankama Shield) are applied after this calculation, so the final drop multiplier can be higher than 2.5.

The multiplier is not affected by either the character or monster's level (or the difference between them).

This chart shows how prospecting affects the drop rate multiplier under the old and new systems:

Drop rate graph

Table of values (rounded to 3 decimal places):
Prospecting Multiplier
100 1.000
110 1.023
120 1.053
130 1.084
140 1.118
150 1.154
160 1.192
170 1.233
180 1.275
190 1.320
200 1.367
210 1.415
220 1.464
230 1.515
240 1.566
250 1.618
260 1.669
270 1.720
280 1.771
290 1.820
300 1.868
310 1.915
320 1.960
330 2.002
340 2.043
350 2.081
360 2.117
370 2.151
380 2.182
390 2.212
400 2.238
410 2.263
420 2.286
430 2.307
440 2.325
450 2.343
460 2.358
470 2.372
480 2.385
490 2.397
500 2.407
510 2.416
520 2.425
530 2.432
540 2.439
550 2.445
560 2.450
570 2.455
580 2.460
590 2.463
600 2.467

Note: The following section uses the old PP formula for simplicity.

Although each player in a fight rolls separately, a group has a statistically better chance of dropping the more players it has, and the higher each member's individual prospecting is.

Drop Rate Stacking[]

Statistically, the more people in a fight, the better the odds that at least one person in the fight will get a given drop. The probability of at least one person getting a drop is calculated as follows:

  • D = Probability of drop expressed as a decimal (1% = .01)
  • PPx = Each Character's prospecting (PP1=char1, PP2=char2, etc), expressed as a percent (divided by 100)
  • G = Number of people in group
  • Pt = Total probability of at least one member of group getting drop (again, as a decimal)

Pt = 1-((1-(PP1*D))*(1-(PP2*D))...*(1-(PPG*D)))

Therefore, for an item with a drop rate of 5% and a party of 8 people with a prospecting of 100 each:

Pt = 1-((1-(1*.05))^8)
   = 1-((1-.05)^8)
   = 1-(.95^8)
   = 1-.6634   see note
   = .3366 or 33.66%

Note: rounding is necessary at this step to keep the number manageable

If there is more than one of a given monster in a group, each monster will have the same chance to drop an item. The math is the same, only now the number of monsters is relevant instead of the number of players.

  • Pf = Final total probability of a drop from the given mob by the given group
  • Pt = Base total probability of drop from above formula
  • M = Number of relevant monster in group

Pf = 1-(1-Pt)M

(this one's simpler because you are dealing with multiple instances of a value that will definitely be the same)

If there are 5 of the monster in the mob, using Pt from the example above:

Pf = 1-(1-.3366)^5
   = 1-(.6634)^5
   = 1-(.2920) (rounding again)
   = .7080 or 70.8%

Drop Procedure[]

When the player side wins a fight against monsters, the players may receive drops. Each character gets a drop roll on each drop of each monster. If a drop roll is successful the character receives the item.

The character with the highest prospecting rolls for items first, followed by the character with the second highest prospecting, and so forth. In the case where two or more characters have the same prospecting, the tie is broken by Initiative.

History[]

Before version 2.29, drops also had another property, called Prospecting Lock.

The prospecting lock is the minimum amount of prospecting that a player or group of players must have before a drop has a chance to occur. If the prospecting lock is not met, there is no chance of getting the drop, no matter how high the drop rate is.

Prospecting locks vary widely. Some prospecting locks are so low that a single player will always have a chance of getting the drop. (In fact, some prospecting locks must be zero because non-paying players are able to get drops while soloing, yet non-paying players have zero prospecting.) Some locks are a little higher but can still be unlocked by a single player who has increased their prospecting through character points and/or equipment. Some locks are so high that they cannot be unlocked by a single player but require a group of players. The highest prospecting locks can only be unlocked by large groups of players. It is the prospecting at the end of the fight that matters, not the prospecting at the beginning.

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